Alright, so fantasy football season is creeping up again, isn’t it? Had some time today and thought I’d dive into the weeds a bit, specifically looking into J.K. Dobbins and where he’s landing in drafts right now, you know, his ADP.
It’s been on my mind because, let’s be real, the guy’s talent is obvious, but those injuries… brutal. Especially that Achilles last year. So, I figured, let’s see what the market thinks.
Checking the Numbers
First thing I did was pull up my usual go-to fantasy platforms. Didn’t stick to just one, ’cause you know how they can vary. I hopped onto maybe three different sites that host leagues and track this stuff.
- Fired up the first site, navigated straight to the ADP rankings section.
- Filtered it down to just Running Backs to cut out the noise.
- Scrolled through the list, keeping an eye out for Dobbins. Found him. Noted down the overall pick number and his RB rank.
- Jumped over to the second site. Did the same thing – filter, scroll, find Dobbins. Compared the numbers. A little different, but in the same ballpark.
- Did it one more time on a third platform, just for good measure. Triangulating the data, I guess you could call it.
My Takeaways
So, what did I find? Well, his ADP is… interesting. He’s not going super early, obviously. People are definitely baking in that injury risk. He seems to be settling in that range where you start looking for potential upside guys, maybe your RB3 or a flex spot.
Here’s the rub though:
He landed with the Chargers, which immediately made my ears perk up. Back with Greg Roman, who knows how to use him. That feels like a plus.
But then you remember Gus Edwards is there too, another guy Roman knows well. How’s that backfield going to shake out? Is it a committee? Does Dobbins even get the goal-line work if Gus Bus is chugging along?
And that Achilles. Man, coming back from that is tough for any running back. We haven’t really seen him play a full, healthy season yet. It feels like a big gamble.
Looking at the players going around his current ADP, you’ve got some safer floor guys, and maybe some rookies with unknown ceilings. Makes the decision point tricky. Do you swing for the fences on Dobbins’ potential talent and situation, knowing the risk? Or do you take the less exciting, but maybe more reliable, player?
For now, I’ve just made a mental note of his price range. He’s definitely a ‘watch list’ guy during draft season. Need to see how camp reports sound, how his recovery looks. If he starts slipping way past his ADP? Maybe worth a shot. But reaching for him feels like asking for trouble given the history.
Yeah, that’s where I landed after digging into the Dobbins ADP today. Still more thinking to do before draft day. Always is.
